2007 Spring Experiment Ensemble Forecast


2007050121 +21h


Observation: NEXRAD Composite Reflectivity Mosaic (data provided by NSSL/NMQ)

CREF


Postage-Stamp Chart -- Composite Reflectivity

CN N1P1
N2 P2PH1
PH2 PH3PH4
PH5


                 Ensemble Mean  - Composite Reflectivity                                      Spread -
Composite Reflectivity

  cmpref mean    cmpref spread

 "Spaghetti"  - Composite Reflectivity = 40 dBZ


spg cz40

Ensemble Probability  - Composite Reflectivity >= 35 dBZ

prob cz35



                     Observation: Q2RAD HSR-1H  (data provided by NSSL/NMQ)

1h rain

Ensemble Probability  - 1h accumulated precipitation >= 0.1 in

prob acc010