CAPS 2016 HWT Spring Experiment GSI+EnKF-based Ensemble Forecast Product


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This webpage shows post-processed ensemble products, including postage-stamp and spaghetti plots,
ensemble mean in the form of Probability Matching (PM), ensemble maximum, ensemble probability, and
neighborhood probability maps, of selected fields. This webpage is for demonstration purpose. It doesn't
include all available ensemble products generated from the experiment.

Highlight in 2016: An experimental  GSI+EnKF based forecast over the CONUS domain, at 3-km
horizontal grid spacing. This page shows products from ensemble forecast using the final cycle of GSI+EnKF
analyses at 0000 UTC. Three deterministic forecasts using EnKF mean, with different microphysics
(Thompson, P3, and Morrison) are also run.

Post-processed ensemble products are based on a 9-member ensemble. Neighborhood probabilities
are calculated using a 40 km Radius of Impact (ROI) and a 2D Gaussian smoother with a sigma value of 10.

The CAPS 2016 Spring Experiment Plan document details the ensemble system configuration.

Previous years' EnKF based ensemble product pages: 2015

Last updated by Fanyou Kong (fkong@ou.edu)