What is already known:
What this study adds:
In this study, we looked at central Oklahoma’s vulnerability, population exposure, and casualty estimates during a historical tornado outbreak. The event studied was the May 24, 2011 tornado outbreak that occurred over parts of central and western Oklahoma. GIS was used to perform an analysis of the outbreak. We found that we can use past tornado outbreaks to show potential severe weather risks. We also found that casualty statistics for counties can be estimated based on generated simulations and actual statistics calculated from the tornado outbreak. Lastly, We can have high confidence in these simulations effectively showing potential risk for an outbreak, with simulation population exposures showing numbers significantly higher than the actual exposure, as well as county confidence intervals showing the potential for some counties to be impacted multiple times by tornadoes.